Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.154162 0.182801 0.214922 0.253567 0.298750 0.349854 0.411990
2025-07-06 0.109801 0.145750 0.190466 0.249967 0.326846 0.422587 0.550610
2025-07-13 0.089554 0.129483 0.183175 0.260204 0.367361 0.510561 0.715742
2025-07-20 0.078615 0.121935 0.184018 0.278695 0.418485 0.616136 0.915337
2025-07-27 0.068824 0.113550 0.181325 0.290333 0.459796 0.711321 1.110418
2025-08-03 0.058548 0.102250 0.171953 0.289643 0.481370 0.778695 1.270856
2025-08-10 0.048530 0.089436 0.157900 0.278884 0.484769 0.817307 1.389709
2025-08-17 0.039960 0.077509 0.143293 0.264648 0.479811 0.840814 1.485285
2025-08-24 0.035346 0.071823 0.138429 0.266160 0.501125 0.909002 1.661204
2025-08-31 0.030201 0.064244 0.128984 0.257937 0.503813 0.944964 1.784503
2025-09-07 0.027270 0.060501 0.126094 0.261348 0.527785 1.020343 1.984699
2025-09-14 0.024523 0.056671 0.122450 0.262687 0.547723 1.089958 2.180714
2025-09-21 0.021402 0.051716 0.116230 0.258853 0.558743 1.147156 2.365849
2025-09-28 0.018671 0.047174 0.110253 0.254814 0.569145 1.204955 2.560083
2025-10-05 0.017423 0.045838 0.110980 0.265187 0.610728 1.328950 2.899329
2025-10-12 0.016876 0.046088 0.115274 0.284006 0.672650 1.500791 3.354131
2025-10-19 0.015895 0.045072 0.116467 0.295853 0.720544 1.648136 3.772525
2025-10-26 0.014284 0.042119 0.112579 0.295150 0.739798 1.735965 4.072062
2025-11-02 0.012347 0.037913 0.104934 0.284197 0.733666 1.767165 4.250130
2025-11-09 0.010513 0.033627 0.096393 0.269704 0.717063 1.772719 4.370626
2025-11-16 0.009603 0.031855 0.094196 0.271243 0.740101 1.871968 4.716753
2025-11-23 0.008412 0.028995 0.088581 0.262871 0.736941 1.908870 4.919614
2025-11-30 0.007786 0.027774 0.087371 0.266344 0.764900 2.023638 5.320895